Thunderstrike Alliance

Median 3-day move

Observed short-term repricing across the latest item feature set.

Median price volatility

Higher values mean less certainty and more need to check repeat snapshots.

Confidence posture

Conclusions distinguish observed data, inference, speculation, and scored prior outcomes.

Yesterday

Not enough data for this section yet.

Last 7 Days

Not enough data for this section yet.

Hidden Opportunities

• Relentless Earthstorm DiamondStrong Buy | profit 12g 63s | confidence Low 40%
• Tome of Conjure FoodStrong Buy | profit 9g 65s | confidence Low 33%
• Earthstorm DiamondStrong Buy | profit 9g 16s | confidence Low 43%
• Gezzarak's ClawsStrong Buy | profit 6g 61s | confidence Low 38%
• SpellclothStrong Buy | profit 5g 35s | confidence Low 47%
• Amber BandStrong Buy | profit 3g 50s | confidence Medium 61%
• Karrog's SpineStrong Buy | profit 3g 41s | confidence Low 41%
• Felsteel BarStrong Buy | profit 3g 23s | confidence Low 47%

Supply Shifts

Not enough data for this section yet.

Unusual Activity

• Lesser Ward of Shieldingprice 711g 0s | move +444553.0% | sold/day 11.9
• Light Shotprice 3g 55s | move +296183.3% | sold/day 24.5
• Sharp Arrowprice 3g 55s | move +197400.0% | sold/day 669.8
• Bloodthistleprice 292g 69s | move +17662.6% | sold/day 83.1
• Red Dyeprice 38s 69c | move +15376.0% | sold/day 10.8
• Accurate Slugsprice 30s 63c | move +15215.0% | sold/day 174.9
• Blackrock Spring Waterprice 9g 99s | move +11473.7% | sold/day 14.9
• Raw Glossy Mightfishprice 14s 34c | move +10142.9% | sold/day 127.6

Shortage Watch

• Precision Arrowsupply 0 | sold/day 274.2 | change -
• Impact Shotsupply 0 | sold/day 179.2 | change -
• Solid Dynamitesupply 0 | sold/day 100.5 | change -
• Bloodthistlesupply 0 | sold/day 83.1 | change -
• Lynx Meatsupply 0 | sold/day 41.8 | change -
• Shredder Operating Manual - Page 6supply 0 | sold/day 24.2 | change -
• Empty Poison Vialsupply 0 | sold/day 14.0 | change -
• Lean Wolf Steaksupply 0 | sold/day 13.9 | change -

What The AI Learned

• This analysis stores its market calls and checks them against later snapshots, so future confidence can be adjusted by observed signal reliability. Reports are published transparently so users can evaluate the reasoning and outcomes over time.
• The feedback loop has evaluated 183 previous market calls for this realm/faction; observed hit rate is 70%.
• Large short-term movers are being treated as investigation targets first, not automatic buys, because Phase 2 launch activity can include both real demand and stockpiler unloading.
• Opportunity scoring is most reliable when high profit is supported by sold/day and enough auctions to avoid one-listing bait.
• High-value, high-volume staple markets are tracked even when they are not discounted, because steady sold/day can matter as much as a one-off bargain.
• The model lowers confidence where stack-level behavior, cancellations, relists, or unknown external events could explain the observed move.

Prediction Feedback

183 previous calls scored. Overall observed hit rate: 70%.

• Anomaly115 scored | hit rate 83%
• Opportunity60 scored | hit rate 48%
• Shortage8 scored | hit rate 50%
• Other59 category calls scored | hit rate 53%
• Junk22 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
• Raw materials20 category calls scored | hit rate 80%
• Crafted items18 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
• Consumables16 category calls scored | hit rate 94%
• Gems11 category calls scored | hit rate 82%

Known Limits

• Data is regional-demand informed and auction-house snapshot based; it is not perfect individual realm/player truth.
• The system cannot identify individual sellers or buyers.
• The system cannot see stack sizes, cancellations, relisting behaviour, expired auctions, or player-submitted reports.
• External in-game event visibility is incomplete, so some market movement may be caused by unknown factors.
• Confidence is reduced when a market has thin history, low sold/day, low auction count, or extreme one-listing price moves.
• Very low-price items below 10c are ignored unless sold/day is high enough to show real bulk demand.