Nightslayer Horde

Median 3-day move

Observed short-term repricing across the latest item feature set.

Median price volatility

Higher values mean less certainty and more need to check repeat snapshots.

Confidence posture

Conclusions distinguish observed data, inference, speculation, and scored prior outcomes.

Yesterday

Not enough data for this section yet.

Last 7 Days

Not enough data for this section yet.

Hidden Opportunities

• Akkarai's TalonsStrong Buy | profit 17g 18s | confidence High 95%
• Gezzarak's ClawsStrong Buy | profit 9g 6s | confidence High 95%
• Karrog's SpineStrong Buy | profit 8g 1s | confidence High 95%
• Ethereum Stasis Chamber KeyStrong Buy | profit 7g 72s | confidence Medium 62%
• Tourmaline LoopStrong Buy | profit 6g 45s | confidence High 95%
• Frozen RuneStrong Buy | profit 6g 37s | confidence High 75%
• Amber CapeStrong Buy | profit 3g 11s | confidence High 78%
• NightseyeStrong Buy | profit 3g 11s | confidence Medium 61%

Supply Shifts

Not enough data for this section yet.

Unusual Activity

• Accurate Slugsprice 8g 55s | move +8555200.0% | sold/day 169.4
• Solid Shotprice 29s 96c | move +299500.0% | sold/day 66.9
• Rough Dynamiteprice 16g 0s | move +94603.6% | sold/day 63.3
• Elixir of Frost Powerprice 750g 94s | move +75152.6% | sold/day 14.7
• Impact Shotprice 1g 0s | move +41566.7% | sold/day 98.8
• Thorium Headed Arrowprice 5g 49s | move +36809.4% | sold/day 962.9
• Fel Strength Elixirprice 785g 49s | move +10036.1% | sold/day 32.4
• Monster Omeletprice 15g 1s | move +6165.7% | sold/day 16.1

Shortage Watch

• Hi-Impact Mithril Slugssupply 0 | sold/day 2,493.0 | change -
• Feathered Arrowsupply 0 | sold/day 164.0 | change -
• Goretusk Liversupply 0 | sold/day 53.9 | change -
• Dark Iron Barsupply 0 | sold/day 51.5 | change -
• Crag Boar Ribsupply 0 | sold/day 48.0 | change -
• Barbaric Shoulderssupply 0 | sold/day 47.7 | change -
• Exploding Shotsupply 0 | sold/day 27.3 | change -
• Goretusk Snoutsupply 0 | sold/day 19.3 | change -

What The AI Learned

• This analysis stores its market calls and checks them against later snapshots, so future confidence can be adjusted by observed signal reliability. Reports are published transparently so users can evaluate the reasoning and outcomes over time.
• The feedback loop has evaluated 36 previous market calls for this realm/faction; observed hit rate is 50%.
• The model is still history-limited for this market, so it weighs current price, supply, and sold/day more heavily than long-term seasonality.
• Large short-term movers are being treated as investigation targets first, not automatic buys, because Phase 2 launch activity can include both real demand and stockpiler unloading.
• Opportunity scoring is most reliable when high profit is supported by sold/day and enough auctions to avoid one-listing bait.
• High-value, high-volume staple markets are tracked even when they are not discounted, because steady sold/day can matter as much as a one-off bargain.
• The model lowers confidence where stack-level behavior, cancellations, relists, or unknown external events could explain the observed move.

Prediction Feedback

36 previous calls scored. Overall observed hit rate: 50%.

• Anomaly4 scored | hit rate 100%
• Opportunity24 scored | hit rate 50%
• Shortage8 scored | hit rate 25%
• Crafted items8 category calls scored | hit rate 50%
• Gems6 category calls scored | hit rate 0%
• Amulet4 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
• Book4 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
• Meat4 category calls scored | hit rate 0%
• Raw materials4 category calls scored | hit rate 50%

Known Limits

• Data is regional-demand informed and auction-house snapshot based; it is not perfect individual realm/player truth.
• The system cannot identify individual sellers or buyers.
• The system cannot see stack sizes, cancellations, relisting behaviour, expired auctions, or player-submitted reports.
• External in-game event visibility is incomplete, so some market movement may be caused by unknown factors.
• Confidence is reduced when a market has thin history, low sold/day, low auction count, or extreme one-listing price moves.
• Very low-price items below 10c are ignored unless sold/day is high enough to show real bulk demand.