Nightslayer Alliance

Median 3-day move

Observed short-term repricing across the latest item feature set.

Median price volatility

Higher values mean less certainty and more need to check repeat snapshots.

Confidence posture

Conclusions distinguish observed data, inference, speculation, and scored prior outcomes.

Yesterday

Not enough data for this section yet.

Last 7 Days

Not enough data for this section yet.

Hidden Opportunities

• Gezzarak's ClawsStrong Buy | profit 10g 6s | confidence High 77%
• Akkarai's TalonsStrong Buy | profit 8g 29s | confidence High 76%
• Ethereum Stasis Chamber KeyStrong Buy | profit 8g 0s | confidence Low 39%
• SpellclothStrong Buy | profit 5g 82s | confidence Low 36%
• Karrog's SpineStrong Buy | profit 4g 68s | confidence Medium 57%
• Thorium Shield SpikeStrong Buy | profit 4g 5s | confidence Medium 62%
• Tome of Conjure WaterStrong Buy | profit 3g 53s | confidence Low 35%
• Vakkiz's ScaleStrong Buy | profit 2g 96s | confidence Low 21%

Supply Shifts

Not enough data for this section yet.

Unusual Activity

• Razor Arrowprice 88s 8c | move +73300.0% | sold/day 1,413.4
• Accurate Slugsprice 88s 13c | move +51741.2% | sold/day 160.6
• Alterac Swissprice 35g 0s | move +45178.8% | sold/day 513.8
• Heavy Shotprice 88s 27c | move +33850.0% | sold/day 192.1
• Solid Shotprice 88s 27c | move +11828.4% | sold/day 218.2
• Raw Rockscale Codprice 1s 49c | move +7350.0% | sold/day 215.5
• Essence of Undeathprice 9g 19s | move +7098.6% | sold/day 142.4
• Runecloth Bandageprice 2g 0s | move +4153.5% | sold/day 50.6

Shortage Watch

• Precision Arrowsupply 0 | sold/day 273.4 | change -
• Feathered Arrowsupply 0 | sold/day 90.1 | change -
• Bloodthistlesupply 0 | sold/day 84.9 | change -
• Lynx Meatsupply 0 | sold/day 42.6 | change -
• Rough Bronze Leggingssupply 0 | sold/day 41.4 | change -
• Exploding Shotsupply 0 | sold/day 26.4 | change -
• Shredder Operating Manual - Page 6supply 0 | sold/day 24.0 | change -
• Tigerseye Bandsupply 0 | sold/day 20.2 | change -

What The AI Learned

• This analysis stores its market calls and checks them against later snapshots, so future confidence can be adjusted by observed signal reliability. Reports are published transparently so users can evaluate the reasoning and outcomes over time.
• The feedback loop has evaluated 51 previous market calls for this realm/faction; observed hit rate is 88%.
• Large short-term movers are being treated as investigation targets first, not automatic buys, because Phase 2 launch activity can include both real demand and stockpiler unloading.
• Opportunity scoring is most reliable when high profit is supported by sold/day and enough auctions to avoid one-listing bait.
• High-value, high-volume staple markets are tracked even when they are not discounted, because steady sold/day can matter as much as a one-off bargain.
• The model lowers confidence where stack-level behavior, cancellations, relists, or unknown external events could explain the observed move.

Prediction Feedback

51 previous calls scored. Overall observed hit rate: 88%.

• Anomaly51 scored | hit rate 88%
• Junk17 category calls scored | hit rate 94%
• Consumables10 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
• Crafted items7 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
• Meat6 category calls scored | hit rate 83%
• Leather4 category calls scored | hit rate 0%
• Other3 category calls scored | hit rate 100%

Known Limits

• Data is regional-demand informed and auction-house snapshot based; it is not perfect individual realm/player truth.
• The system cannot identify individual sellers or buyers.
• The system cannot see stack sizes, cancellations, relisting behaviour, expired auctions, or player-submitted reports.
• External in-game event visibility is incomplete, so some market movement may be caused by unknown factors.
• Confidence is reduced when a market has thin history, low sold/day, low auction count, or extreme one-listing price moves.
• Very low-price items below 10c are ignored unless sold/day is high enough to show real bulk demand.