AI Market Analysis | NA | Model ai-market-analysis-v1

Dreamscythe Horde

Daily AI-powered market commentary generated from rolling market windows. Latest snapshot 3150 at 2026-05-19T18:54:29+00:00.

This analysis stores its market calls and checks them against later snapshots, so future confidence can be adjusted by observed signal reliability. Reports are published transparently so users can evaluate the reasoning and outcomes over time.

Median 3-day move

+2.7%

Observed short-term repricing across the latest item feature set.

Median price volatility

+0.0%

Higher values mean less certainty and more need to check repeat snapshots.

Confidence posture

Adaptive / transparent

Conclusions distinguish observed data, inference, speculation, and scored prior outcomes.

Yesterday

Not enough data for this section yet.

Last 7 Days

Not enough data for this section yet.

Hidden Opportunities

  • Vakkiz's ScaleStrong Buy | profit 15g 38s | confidence High 95%
  • Gezzarak's ClawsStrong Buy | profit 11g 11s | confidence High 93%
  • Akkarai's TalonsStrong Buy | profit 8g 62s | confidence High 95%
  • Tourmaline LoopStrong Buy | profit 6g 95s | confidence High 94%
  • Karrog's SpineStrong Buy | profit 3g 36s | confidence Medium 69%
  • Star of EluneStrong Buy | profit 2g 3s | confidence Medium 68%
  • Nethercleft Leg ArmorStrong Buy | profit 24g 42s | confidence Medium 61%
  • Azurite RingStrong Buy | profit 11g 25s | confidence High 78%

High-Value, High-Volume Staples

Items in this lane are valuable and sell fast enough to deserve attention even when they are not currently cheap. This catches dependable markets like Mana Thistle instead of only showing discounts or spikes.

  • Mana Thistleprice 31g 79s | sold/day 1,319.7 | auctions 54 | daily value 41965g 38s
  • Large Prismatic Shardprice 17g 90s | sold/day 2,217.1 | auctions 117 | daily value 39703g 75s
  • Noble Topazprice 52g 25s | sold/day 414.9 | auctions 41 | daily value 21682g 0s
  • Adamantite Oreprice 1g 71s | sold/day 11,653.6 | auctions 91 | daily value 20002g 16s
  • Primal Waterprice 12g 74s | sold/day 1,567.0 | auctions 118 | daily value 19972g 23s
  • Primal Fireprice 16g 76s | sold/day 1,080.0 | auctions 162 | daily value 18107g 92s
  • Flask of Relentless Assaultprice 103g 49s | sold/day 156.0 | auctions 11 | daily value 16141g 70s
  • Netherbloomprice 5g 70s | sold/day 2,620.8 | auctions 87 | daily value 14953g 76s

Current Predictions

These are explicit forward-looking calls. Each one is stored and scored against a later snapshot, then folded into future confidence.

  • Vakkiz's ScaleBuy | Opportunity | 3-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 10g 93s | Predicted 19g 13s | Buy zone 12g 67s - 14g 90s | Sell zone 18g 37s - 20g 66sExpected ROI +66.3% | Hold 1.5 days | Sell probability 68%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 8/100 | Confidence High 95%
  • Vakkiz's ScaleBuy | Opportunity | 7-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 10g 93s | Predicted 19g 13s | Buy zone 12g 67s - 14g 90s | Sell zone 18g 37s - 20g 66sExpected ROI +66.3% | Hold 1.5 days | Sell probability 68%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 8/100 | Confidence High 95%
  • Vakkiz's ScaleBuy | Opportunity | 14-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 10g 93s | Predicted 19g 13s | Buy zone 12g 67s - 14g 90s | Sell zone 18g 37s - 20g 66sExpected ROI +66.3% | Hold 1.5 days | Sell probability 68%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 8/100 | Confidence High 95%
  • Akkarai's TalonsBuy | Opportunity | 3-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 5g 24s | Predicted 9g 85s | Buy zone 6g 52s - 7g 67s | Sell zone 9g 45s - 10g 63sExpected ROI +78.2% | Hold 3.0 days | Sell probability 66%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 8/100 | Confidence High 95%
  • Akkarai's TalonsBuy | Opportunity | 7-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 5g 24s | Predicted 9g 85s | Buy zone 6g 52s - 7g 67s | Sell zone 9g 45s - 10g 63sExpected ROI +78.2% | Hold 3.0 days | Sell probability 66%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 8/100 | Confidence High 95%
  • Akkarai's TalonsBuy | Opportunity | 14-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 5g 24s | Predicted 9g 85s | Buy zone 6g 52s - 7g 67s | Sell zone 9g 45s - 10g 63sExpected ROI +78.2% | Hold 3.0 days | Sell probability 66%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 8/100 | Confidence High 95%
  • Deadly Flame SpessariteBuy | Opportunity | 3-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 2g 35s | Predicted 3g 62s | Buy zone 2g 40s - 2g 82s | Sell zone 3g 48s - 3g 91sExpected ROI +46.4% | Hold 2.3 days | Sell probability 67%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 8/100 | Confidence High 95%
  • Deadly Flame SpessariteBuy | Opportunity | 7-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 2g 35s | Predicted 3g 62s | Buy zone 2g 40s - 2g 82s | Sell zone 3g 48s - 3g 91sExpected ROI +46.4% | Hold 2.3 days | Sell probability 67%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 8/100 | Confidence High 95%
  • Deadly Flame SpessariteBuy | Opportunity | 14-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 2g 35s | Predicted 3g 62s | Buy zone 2g 40s - 2g 82s | Sell zone 3g 48s - 3g 91sExpected ROI +46.4% | Hold 2.3 days | Sell probability 67%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 8/100 | Confidence High 95%
  • Tourmaline LoopWatch / test small | Opportunity | 3-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 4g 44s | Predicted 6g 60s | Buy zone 3g 83s - 4g 51s | Sell zone 6g 33s - 7g 13sExpected ROI +41.3% | Hold 4.0 days | Sell probability 42%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 8/100 | Confidence High 94%

Supply Shifts

Not enough data for this section yet.

Unusual Activity

  • Accurate Slugsprice 8g 55s | move +1069325.0% | sold/day 169.4
  • Razor Arrowprice 9g 55s | move +173627.3% | sold/day 1,178.8
  • Stormy Azure Moonstoneprice 711g 0s | move +129125.7% | sold/day 19.4
  • Ankhprice 382g 20s | move +38123.8% | sold/day 10.9
  • Coarse Threadprice 2g 50s | move +31173.8% | sold/day 109.7
  • Raw Rockscale Codprice 97c | move +4750.0% | sold/day 146.8
  • Jagged Arrowprice 9g 55s | move +4696.7% | sold/day 1,843.5
  • Bristle Whisker Catfishprice 7s 68c | move +4417.6% | sold/day 103.9

Shortage Watch

  • Hi-Impact Mithril Slugssupply 0 | sold/day 2,493.0 | change -
  • Irradiated Crystal Shardsupply 0 | sold/day 216.1 | change -
  • Filtered Draenic Watersupply 0 | sold/day 157.8 | change -
  • Green Smoke Flaresupply 0 | sold/day 127.5 | change -
  • Nightscape Headbandsupply 0 | sold/day 43.0 | change -
  • Moongraze Stag Tenderloinsupply 0 | sold/day 29.9 | change -
  • Dark Leather Beltsupply 0 | sold/day 28.8 | change -
  • Tough Condor Meatsupply 0 | sold/day 27.9 | change -

What The AI Learned

  • This analysis stores its market calls and checks them against later snapshots, so future confidence can be adjusted by observed signal reliability. Reports are published transparently so users can evaluate the reasoning and outcomes over time.
  • The feedback loop has evaluated 30 previous market calls for this realm/faction; observed hit rate is 60%.
  • The model is still history-limited for this market, so it weighs current price, supply, and sold/day more heavily than long-term seasonality.
  • Large short-term movers are being treated as investigation targets first, not automatic buys, because Phase 2 launch activity can include both real demand and stockpiler unloading.
  • Opportunity scoring is most reliable when high profit is supported by sold/day and enough auctions to avoid one-listing bait.
  • High-value, high-volume staple markets are tracked even when they are not discounted, because steady sold/day can matter as much as a one-off bargain.
  • The model lowers confidence where stack-level behavior, cancellations, relists, or unknown external events could explain the observed move.

Prediction Feedback

30 previous calls scored. Overall observed hit rate: 60%.

  • Anomaly4 scored | hit rate 50%
  • Opportunity22 scored | hit rate 55%
  • Shortage4 scored | hit rate 100%
  • Gems6 category calls scored | hit rate 67%
  • Raw materials6 category calls scored | hit rate 0%
  • Amulet4 category calls scored | hit rate 50%
  • Book4 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
  • Enchanting materials4 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
  • Consumables2 category calls scored | hit rate 100%

Known Limits

  • Data is regional-demand informed and auction-house snapshot based; it is not perfect individual realm/player truth.
  • The system cannot identify individual sellers or buyers.
  • The system cannot see stack sizes, cancellations, relisting behaviour, expired auctions, or player-submitted reports.
  • External in-game event visibility is incomplete, so some market movement may be caused by unknown factors.
  • Confidence is reduced when a market has thin history, low sold/day, low auction count, or extreme one-listing price moves.
  • Very low-price items below 10c are ignored unless sold/day is high enough to show real bulk demand.